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Thought Behind Things · Dec 13, 2021

Pakistan's insurance penetration is less than 1% of GDP

Siftain Jiwani and Hunain Kabaria, the CEO and CTO of Smart Choice, walk through how Pakistan's insurance value chain is broken — from claims and OPD coverage to product design — and what they are building to fix it.

with Siftain Jiwani and Hunain Kabaria

11 min read

A founder who bought the domain three years before launching

The episode opens with Muzamil introducing two guests at once — Siftain Jiwani, the CEO of Smart Choice, and Hunain Kabaria, the CTO — and noting up front that he has personally used the platform, that the episode is not sponsored, and that he has been watching Siftain’s work for roughly four years. The tone is set early: this is not a pitch, it is a conversation between people who have actually transacted.

Siftain’s path to insurance is unusually long. He studied at Adamjee Science College in Karachi, started software engineering at FAST, dropped out after a year of calculus he had not signed up for, transferred from Wolverhampton to Manchester in the UK, and finished a sandwich degree in business information technology. Along the way he ran for and won the students’ union president position, the first Pakistani international student to do so. He returned to Pakistan in 2008 and joined TPS, a Pakistani fintech, where he stayed for roughly seven years selling digital banking products into West Africa and the Middle East — including trips to Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Congo, Djibouti, and Côte d’Ivoire.

The Smart Choice idea, he tells Muzamil, came from his time in England, where aggregators existed for everything: gas, electricity, credit cards, car loans, insurance. He bought the domain in 2012. He did not launch until 2015, after 3G and 4G licences finally pushed broadband penetration to the point where comparison platforms could plausibly work. The MVP was a broadband comparison tool — not insurance.

Hunain’s route back: Vistaprint, INSEAD, and three startups that did not work

Hunain’s story runs in parallel. Saint Patrick’s in Karachi, then Worcester Polytechnic Institute outside Boston, then five years at Vistaprint as a software engineer in the manufacturing software division. He left engineering for an MBA at INSEAD’s Fontainebleau campus, where the incoming GMAT bar is over 700 and the cohort spans ages 26 to 36.

After INSEAD, he tried a Singapore-based HR tech startup with two batchmates. It did not work. He moved back to Karachi and tried a grocery delivery startup with high school friends. That did not work either. By the end of 2018, he and Siftain were working out of the same Karachi co-working space — Workhall — when Siftain raised a round from Oman Technology Fund and started looking for a CTO. The conversation that followed leaned on Hunain’s exposure to the Obamacare debate during his US years, which had taught him to read health insurance policy closely. He joined in 2019.

Why insurance, and why nothing else

Muzamil presses on the vertical choice. Smart Choice did not begin as an insurance platform — it began as a financial product comparison platform. By 2017, the team was trying to cover credit cards, car loans, mutual funds, banking products, and insurance simultaneously, with three people and a single junior developer.

“In 2019 when we looked at it, we decided let’s just focus on one product,” Siftain says. The reason for picking insurance over the others is specific: it was the only product where Smart Choice could own the full customer experience. For credit cards, car loans, and mutual funds, the aggregator is forced to hand the customer off to a bank. For insurance, it does not have to.

That choice forced a second realisation. Once they sat inside the insurance value chain, they could see how broken it was — distribution, claims, product design, the way policies were sold, the reasons people refused to buy them. Hunain puts the product gap bluntly: when Smart Choice launched its retail health insurance vertical, only Jubilee Insurance and TPL Life offered any retail product at all. Everything else was corporate-only. Smart Choice had to push the two providers to build a one-million-rupee individual health plan from scratch.

The accidental SME line

The SME health insurance business, which is now one of the larger lines, was a mistake. Hunain tells the story to Muzamil directly: once the first two retail health products went live, the call centre started getting incoming queries from businesses asking about employee coverage. The person handling those calls had no insurance background. He closed the first lead in three weeks.

“We did that and then from that experiment we learned, oh, SMEs is a play where we want to go,” Hunain says. Smart Choice now covers more than 250 SMEs and roughly 10,000 to 12,000 lives. Plans can be customised down to companies as small as five employees — there is no 50-employee floor.

Muzamil uses his own history as the test case. He describes leaving an MNC with full coverage, joining a Pakistani software house that offered a salary uplift in lieu of insurance, and discovering that at the price points available to him as an individual, the coverage was effectively a joke. “I was being scared by the level of coverage that I was being offered,” he says. The SME plans Smart Choice now sells are explicitly designed to close that gap, with the trade-off being entirely on the price-point axis: more coverage costs more premium, and that is the whole equation.

Why OPD cannot be made cashless

Siftain is direct about the limits of the product. OPD — the everyday outpatient visit for a fever or a consultation — is generally not covered by health insurance in Pakistan. It is only covered in two specific windows: thirty days before a hospitalisation event, and fifteen to thirty days after discharge, depending on the provider. A standalone GP visit is not covered.

The reason is structural. “Doctors are not registered, clinics are not registered. Everything is happening in a certain grey zone,” Siftain says. Insurance companies cannot underwrite cashless OPD against unregistered providers because the fraud exposure is too large. And the premium customers are willing to pay does not support it. He frames the maths plainly: at a price point of 5,000 to 7,000 rupees per head per year, OPD coverage is not economically possible. At 25,000 rupees per head per year, it would be — but mass market customers in Pakistan are not paying 25,000 rupees per head per year for health insurance.

The implication is that a meaningful improvement in OPD coverage is downstream of formalising the provider side, not upstream of a clever aggregator product.

Mutual funds, crypto, and where Smart Choice is not going next

Muzamil pushes on whether Smart Choice will extend back into the broader financial product comparison space — specifically mutual funds, brokers, and investment platforms. He cites the obvious context: a freelancer and IT-export boom that has parked dollars in young hands, an FBR rate hike, and a generation now visibly interested in markets and crypto.

Siftain is measured. He acknowledges the demand and notes that Pakistan is, by one count, the third-largest crypto market globally — well ahead of the roughly 250,000 registered stock exchange investors. But he is clear that Smart Choice will not chase that demand yet. “There are a lot of problems that we have to solve in insurance,” he says. The missing piece across all of those products, in his reading, is not a comparison tool. It is content — actual education about what each product does and why a person might want it. Without that, an aggregator is just a faster path to a confused decision.

The Islamic question and the buy-now-pay-later experiment

Muzamil raises the objection he has heard most often: that insurance itself is un-Islamic. Siftain, who came to insurance from outside the industry and has no family history in it, separates the methodology from the concept. The concept — a pool where everyone contributes and the person who suffers a loss draws from the pool — is, in his words, a beautiful one. The Islamic concern is with how that pool is structured and invested, and there is a Shariah-compliant version of it.

The more interesting product innovation he points to is on the payment side. Smart Choice is working with insurance companies on instalment-based premiums — buy-now-pay-later applied to insurance itself — and on usage-based car insurance from Salaam Takaful, which prices the premium against kilometres actually driven. “You’re going to exclusively launch that product on our platform in the coming days,” Siftain tells Muzamil. Hunain extends the same logic to a US-style customisation model: make, model, year, value, ZIP code, annual mileage, driver age. The Pakistani market currently flattens all of that into one rate.

What the claims data actually looks like

Hunain spends a long passage on the claims process, which is the part of insurance that the customer only sees once and remembers forever. The structural issue, he explains, is that Pakistani insurance companies report aggregate claim numbers to the Insurance Association of Pakistan — total premium booked, total claims paid — but do not break out which line of business the claims came from. There is no public data on whether health claims are being paid at 50% or 120%.

Smart Choice fought for two years to get two providers to release the claim data for Smart Choice customers specifically. The numbers surprised the team. One provider sits at a 120% claim ratio on Smart Choice retail health policies — meaning for every 100 rupees of premium booked, that provider has paid out 120 rupees in claims. Another sits at 80%. Smart Choice has published both publicly on its site and is pushing the rest of the industry to follow.

The day-to-day claim work is more granular. Most rejections, Siftain explains, come back labelled “documentation incomplete” without specifying which document is missing. The real service Smart Choice provides is translating that response — telling the customer which doctor’s note, which final bill, which lab report the insurer actually wants — and then escalating the case if a pre-existing-condition rejection looks unfair. Hunain personally leads claims handling despite being the CTO.

Distribution, scale, and the funding picture

Pakistan’s total insurance premium pool, Siftain notes, is roughly $2 billion. The UAE, with ten million people, runs $8 billion. Oman, with three to four million, runs $1.1 to $1.2 billion. Penetration in Pakistan is under 1% of GDP. India sits at 4-5%. The US at 12-13%.

The distribution channel explains most of the gap. If a Pakistani consumer wants car insurance today, Siftain says, their first move is to ask a friend, who refers them to “seth seth seth” — a chain of informal agents. There is no neutral comparison surface. The traditional channel works for the insurance companies that have already reached their current penetration, which is why they are slow to change it.

On Smart Choice’s own funding, Siftain confirms backing from Oman Technology Fund and SOSV — the same fund behind Dastgyr and Pricena — and places the company at seed stage, not yet Series A. The next round is being lined up, with international investors more interested in the broader fintech space than in insurance specifically, largely because most Pakistani fintech products have not yet rolled out publicly at scale.

Credit, consumption, and the Pakistan of 2050

The closing stretch turns philosophical. Muzamil walks through his own father’s lesson — credit card limit is a wall, never cross it, pay the bill on time — and the way that conditioning made him refuse to take car loans for years. Hunain pushes back gently. Credit for productivity, in his framing, is defensible: a laptop that raises your income, an asset that builds equity. Credit for consumption — high-fashion clothes on instalments — is not. The instrument is the same; the use case is what matters.

Muzamil closes with the question he asks most guests: thirty years from now, at 64 and 66, what does the Pakistan they are building toward look like? Hunain wants a more aware Pakistan, where the youth questions what it is taught rather than accepting it, and where the economy has moved past 20,000-rupee jobs into higher-dollar export services. Siftain wants a more tolerant Pakistan where people can sit and disagree without taking it personally, and where the instinct to blame the country for everything has been replaced by an instinct to look for opportunities inside it. “This country has huge opportunities,” he says. “We become that society where we hold each other’s hands and we can take each other forward.”